Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.111729 54.116388 60.376574 67.372868 74.956063 82.909842 91.865537
2024-10-20 38.250651 46.926859 56.539105 67.899880 80.880184 95.169365 112.007527
2024-10-27 31.462759 41.150163 52.364748 66.147994 82.468449 101.015393 123.517654
2024-11-03 28.591284 39.386565 52.330102 68.730521 88.685165 111.907009 140.690020
2024-11-10 25.802848 37.300774 51.537593 70.076946 93.180976 120.627009 155.273158
2024-11-17 22.920495 34.741885 49.843627 70.028062 95.752475 126.896897 166.871323
2024-11-24 21.548816 33.993495 50.310606 72.589302 101.500751 137.036697 183.249511
2024-12-01 19.374676 31.924128 48.846938 72.481106 103.737295 142.760514 194.194423
2024-12-08 17.203182 29.641673 46.899189 71.550535 104.764047 146.865812 203.079328
2024-12-15 15.604127 28.033206 45.737192 71.550044 106.913578 152.349066 213.707211
2024-12-22 14.188814 26.563699 44.648988 71.542708 108.975479 157.683023 224.161019
2024-12-29 13.693470 26.467814 45.507976 74.246927 114.725210 167.893342 241.028654
2025-01-05 12.690834 25.508560 45.075398 75.141922 118.090353 175.131386 254.314953
2025-01-12 11.690674 24.466802 44.452009 75.719294 121.013787 181.832691 267.021853
2025-01-19 10.222983 22.483427 42.238474 73.817783 120.328229 183.584697 273.116787
2025-01-26 9.929819 22.518267 43.172186 76.619311 126.369845 194.547781 291.639287
2025-02-02 9.378236 22.035026 43.236457 78.078957 130.484315 202.911526 306.760586
2025-02-09 8.577308 21.013075 42.354423 78.025975 132.362989 208.184175 317.738670
2025-02-16 8.365983 21.088537 43.282257 80.801117 138.434757 219.366423 336.896284
2025-02-23 7.659521 20.130667 42.407777 80.683926 140.188062 224.496717 347.802253
2025-03-02 6.870684 18.922465 41.023231 79.675840 140.547467 227.625667 355.950279
2025-03-09 6.307858 18.119381 40.290995 79.675307 142.399947 232.874963 367.074688
2025-03-16 5.791162 17.357684 39.581112 79.667360 144.214534 238.069779 378.160121